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Traders analyze December employment report for direction
11 hours ago · As for the rest of the day, traders will turn their focus to the US employment report for December. The report is gaining some prominence because recent comments from Fed officials have offered a mix of opinions regarding the outlook for inflation and policy rates, which has left traders looking for direction in the data, again.
Five key macro trends to watch in 2025 - financial-world.org
Nov 24, 2024 · Analysts believe that 3i's (Inflation, Inequalities and Immigration) were the principal culprit in political revolutions that over the last 15 months have either swept from power or meaningfully weakend almost all incumbent governments (e.g. US, UK, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, Italy, Poland, Japan, and India).
Fed stays on track for December rate cut - financial-world.org
Dec 8, 2024 · Canada Employment. Employment in Canada increased by +51K in November and was propped up by sharp gains from the public sector. Despite this, the unemployment rate rose to 6.8% as the participation rate rose sharply, reversing the decline from September and October.
ECB cuts rates and lowers growth and inflation outlook
Dec 13, 2024 · The most important event for FX watchers today will be the ECB's policy meeting. Largely because of the speeches that emerged from ECB officials prior to the blackout period, traders have become fairly certain that the Governing Council will elect to reduce the ECB's Deposit Rate by -25bps, making the fourth reduction in the current easing cycle.
Fed supports investment by keeping real interest rates high
Dec 20, 2024 · Mexico's Banxico took a more conservative approach Thursday by lowering its policy rate by -25bps (as generally expected) and not by -50bps. A cut of -50bps is possible in Q1 2025, but contingent on whether progress is made in meeting the US's demands on border security, drugs, etc. Uncertainty in the bilateral relationship won't go away completely, however, and analysts expect that USD/MXN ...
Global markets retreat after weak China data
Dec 10, 2024 · Rather, the concerns this morning surround China, again. While traders seem to have cheered the tonal shift around monetary and fiscal stimulus coming from China's Politburo over the weekend, the news surrounding the commercial relation between China and the US continues to worsen, negating the coming stimulus' purported benefits.
US traders increase stock exposure despite economic slowdown …
Jul 12, 2024 · The question is therefore whether traders are getting too complacent with that two-cut scenario ahead of today's CPI report. Perhaps they are, as net length in Fed Funds futures contracts by non-commercial traders has jumped sharply since late May, suggesting that speculators are anticipating a decline in interest rates relative to what the forward rate curve is …
Global economic slowdown impacts markets and investment
Jul 25, 2024 · Background of the crisis. The deficit widened instead of narrowing, and Brazil's debt-to-GDP ratio rose again. In particular, the carefully monitored and targeted primary deficit (as a share of GDP) moved away from the fiscal framework target of -0.25% for 2024.
Fed's unique position highlights American Exceptionalism
Oct 10, 2024 · In the United Kingdom, traders are watching closely as Chancellor Rachel Reeves prepares to present the new budget on October 30. There are concerns that planned fiscal consolidation won't be sufficient, especially if the new government increases infrastructure spending without offsetting tax hikes.